REMNANTS OF 06E KST Advisory Number 10
KST HQ CAGAYAN DE ORO, PHILIPPINES
Remnants of Felicia [EP062021]
0000UTC WED JULY 21 2021
...FELICIA ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AND BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
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SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.9N 140.9W
ABOUT 995 MI...1595 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
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WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no warnings and watches associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Felicia
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KEY MESSAGES
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There are currently no Key Messages for Post-Tropicla Cyclone Felicia
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DISCUSSION
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A small area of deep convection that flared up early this morning
has dissipated. Since then, what's left of Felicia is just a low
cloud swirl moving within the trade wind flow, with thin high clouds
moving over it from the west. The initial motion is 255/14 kt.
Felicia is moving in a hostile environment, with dry, stable
conditions, vertical wind shear greater than 20 kt, and sea
surface temperatures around 25 to 26C. While there may be isolated
flare-ups of deep convection over the next couple of days,
reintensification under these conditions is not likely. Thus,
Felicia has been declared a post-tropical remnant low. The remnant
circulation of Felicia should continue to spin down and the global
models open up the circulation into a trough by the end of the week.
This is the last advisory issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center on Felicia. Additional information on this system can be
found in the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service in Honolulu under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP and WMO header
FZPN40 PHFO.
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FORECAST CONE
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FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/1500Z 15.0N 121.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
INIT 20/0900Z 15.9N 136.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 20/1800Z 15.5N 138.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 21/0600Z 14.9N 141.2W 25 KT 30 MPH
36H 2INIT 21/0300Z 14.9N 140.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 21/1200Z 14.5N 143.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 22/0000Z 13.9N 145.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 22/1200Z 13.3N 148.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 23/0000Z 13.0N 151.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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THIS IS THE FINAL KST ADVISORY
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INFORMATION FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
$$
FORECASTER PITOGO/KODOMA